Analytics
Resolved Rochester Americans on 7 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Rochester Americans at 65.5%. The Springfield Thunderbirds side opened at 50.5% on 2 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 53% on 5 Feb 2026 and the low 34% on 6 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 34% on 6 Feb 2026. $379.78 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 8, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Springfield Thunderbirds price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 2 Feb 2026 – 7 Feb 2026 · axis zoomed to 30%–60%
| Observed | Springfield Thunderbirds price |
|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 7 Feb 2026 | 34.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| triklozoid | Springfield Thunderbirds | 30 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 25 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | Springfield Thunderbirds | 5.63 |
| beerman | Springfield Thunderbirds |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-02-06: If Springfield Thunderbirds win, the market will resolve to "Springfield Thunderbirds". If Rochester Americans win, the market will resolve to "Rochester Americans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution source: https://theahl.com/stats/schedule
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ahl-spr-roc1-2026-02-07
| 3.85 |
| Amazing-Dioxide | Springfield Thunderbirds | 3.7 |
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