Analytics
Resolved Toronto Marlies on 22 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Toronto Marlies at 52%. The Hamilton Hammers side opened at 50% on 16 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the highest close was 57% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 48% on 21 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 48% on 21 Oct 2026. $270.58 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 11:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Hamilton Hammers price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Hamilton Hammers price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 48.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x4f2 | Hamilton Hammers | 144 |
| duangduangmm | Hamilton Hammers | 6 |
| sportsw1zard | Hamilton Hammers | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-10-21: If Hamilton Hammers win, the market will resolve to "Hamilton Hammers". If Toronto Marlies win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Marlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ahl-ham-tor-2026-10-21
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