Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 51%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 12 Oct 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 8 Oct 2025 and the lowest 21.5% on 11 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 49% on 12 Oct 2025. $8.64 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 12 Oct 2025, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
| 12 Oct 2025 | 49.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 201 |
| trumpkam | Yes | 8.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Asia World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Saturday, October 11, 2025 between Iraq and Indonesia.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/afc-irq-idn-2025-10-11
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