
Resolved Yes on 30 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 44.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2025 to 30 Dec 2025, the highest close was 73.5% on 27 Dec 2025 and the lowest 43.5% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 43.5% on 28 Dec 2025. $878.67K traded over the market's life.
87 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 30 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 49.0% |
| 30 Dec 2025 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SemyonMarmeladov | No | 74.13K |
| allpinkynobrain | No | 15K |
| Punisher2022 | No | 11.77K |
| Hopeful-Spork | No | 10.33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for December 30, 2025 If Nigeria wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.cafonline.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/acn-uga-nga-2025-12-30
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