Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.5%. Yes opened at 14% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 9 Jan 2026, the highest close was 14% on 8 Jan 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 9 Jan 2026. $185K traded over the market's life.
119 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 11, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 9 Jan 2026, chart shows 8%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 14.0% |
| 9 Jan 2026 | 12.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mafi7al | Yes | 12.73K |
| difahhh | Yes | 10.35K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.93K |
| BeastPlays | Yes | 3.86K |
| Cannae | Yes | 2.58K |
| Plush-Altitude | Yes | 2.13K |
| kevtoche | Yes | 1.45K |
| vitali40k | Yes | 1.33K |
| nzone | Yes | 1.22K |
| Clear-Cut-Crude | Yes | 1.18K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 9, 2026 If Mali wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.cafonline.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/acn-mli-sen-2026-01-09
New to prediction markets?
