Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 29 Nov 2025 and the low 0.3% on 22 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 9% on 1 Dec 2025. $8.28K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 34 points · 29 Nov 2025 – 31 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 31 Dec 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 362.99 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 221 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 193 |
| trumpwait | Yes | 131.4 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of December 2025 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/aapl-above-in-december-2025
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 108 |
| EDCsystems | Yes | 100 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 91 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 77.74 |
| Blaorra | Yes | 47.96 |
| Cronnozzz | Yes | 47.02 |
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