Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 21 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2024 to 1 Dec 2024, the highest close was 11.5% on 21 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Dec 2024. $109.58K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 3:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 21 Nov 2024 – 1 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2024 | 11.5% |
| 1 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jenea | Yes | 1.13K |
| Comebackkid | Yes | 1.01K |
| sshirosshima | Yes | 323.95 |
| anon888 | Yes | 149.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bluesky reaches 30,000,000 or more users at any point between November 19 and November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET according to https://bsky-users.theo.io/. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the resolution source is unavailable at resolution time, https://bsky.jazco.dev/stats may be used. If both resolution sources are unavailable at resolution time, a new resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/30m-bluesky-users-in-november
| simpletrader | Yes | 147.35 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 68.62 |
| 11tiy | Yes | 6.25 |
| sdgfhghj9 | No | 0.03 |
| LetsGo01 | No | 0.02 |
| Negeto | No | 0.02 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
