Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 46.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 25 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2025 to 29 Mar 2025, the highest close was 53.5% on 29 Mar 2025 and the lowest 34.5% on 28 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 53.5% on 29 Mar 2025. $5.33K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 7:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 25 Mar 2025 – 29 Mar 2025, chart shows 30%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2025 | 51.0% |
| 29 Mar 2025 | 53.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TakeSeo | Yes | 22.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 3 or more upsets in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Sweet 16. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An “upset” is defined as a team with a higher seed that defeats a team with a lower seed. If for any reason the Sweet 16 has not been completed by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3-upsets-in-the-sweet-16
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