Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 28 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 33% on 29 Jun 2025 and the low 20.5% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 20.5% on 1 Jul 2025. $606.97 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 8:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 28 Jun 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 15%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2025 | 32.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 431 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 54.23 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 250 or more graduated tokens created on pump.fun on June 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Dune Analytics, specifically the "Tokens Created Daily" bar chart available at https://dune.com/adam_tehc/pumpfun This market will resolve once the relevant bar meets the specified threshold, or otherwise once the relevant bar is finalized and has not met that threshold. The "Graduated Tokens" value displayed when hovering over the bar for 2025-06-30 00:00 will be considered finalized once any bar for July 1 is published.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/250-pumpfun-graduated-tokens-on-june-30
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