Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 68.5%. Yes opened at 55% on 27 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2025 to 28 Jun 2025, the highest close was 55% on 27 Jun 2025 and the lowest 31.5% on 28 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 31.5% on 28 Jun 2025. $1.76K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Jun 2025 – 28 Jun 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2025 | 55.0% |
| 28 Jun 2025 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 517 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 50 |
| Donatell | Yes | 1.14 |
| pmt013 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 250 or more graduated tokens created on pump.fun on June 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Dune Analytics, specifically the "Tokens Created Daily" bar chart available at https://dune.com/adam_tehc/pumpfun This market will resolve once the relevant bar meets the specified threshold, or otherwise once the relevant bar is finalized and has not met that threshold. The "Graduated Tokens" value displayed when hovering over the bar for 2025-06-27 00:00 will be considered finalized once any bar for June 28 is published.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/250-pumpfun-graduated-tokens-on-june-27
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