Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jan 2025.
$2.81K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 9:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 1 point · 3 Jan 2025 · axis zoomed to 40%–52%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2025 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 35.42K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 3.87K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025, on the opening day of the 119th United States Congress. This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are exactly 217 votes for Mike Johnson in the first ballot cast for US Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a person other than Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "210 or less" market will resolve to "Yes". If Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "220 or more" market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-votes-will-mike-johnson-get-on-first-ballot
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