Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 25.5%. Yes opened at 40% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 12 Feb 2026, the highest close was 43.5% on 8 Feb 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 12 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 27.5% on 9 Feb 2026. $42.97K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 14, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 12 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 40.0% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.08K |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 362 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 273 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 5000m event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 5000m event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group. If this event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).
Resolution source: https://www.olympics.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/winter-games-2026-speed-skating-womens-5000m
| No |
| 273 |
| TENETENET | No | 200 |
| JohnWouter | No | 176.58 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 166 |
| TheFinalPercent | No | 100 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 86 |
| rated | No | 75 |
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