Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.2%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 16 Feb 2026, the highest close was 18.5% on 7 Feb 2026 and the lowest 1.8% on 12 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 1.8% on 8 Feb 2026. $2.35K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 16 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 18.5% |
| 16 Feb 2026 | 1.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.37K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 765 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 459 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 5000m Relay event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 5000m Relay event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group. If this event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).
Resolution source: https://www.olympics.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/winter-games-2026-speed-skating-st-mens-5000m-relay
| Yes |
| 288 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 268 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 153.13 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 151 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| TheFinalPercent | Yes | 100 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 92 |
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