Will Birk Irving (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 20, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.8K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 20, 2026 UTC

Topic roomOil, gold and commodities

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 46% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2026 to 20 Feb 2026, the highest close was 46% on 8 Feb 2026 and the lowest 2.9% on 10 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 20.5% on 9 Feb 2026. $3.81K traded over the market's life.

20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 22, 12:27 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 8 Feb 2026 – 20 Feb 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Feb 2026	46.0%
20 Feb 2026	2.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.39K
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	425
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	270
Bold Scout BD7E	Yes	260

10 of 20 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Ski Halfpipe - Men's event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group. If this event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

Resolution source: https://www.olympics.com