Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 The Open Championship?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$55.5K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 19, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 19 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.5%. Yes opened at 0.5% on 14 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 14 Jul 2026 to 19 Jul 2026, the highest close was 5.5% on 19 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 15 Jul 2026. $55.46K traded over the market's life.

27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 5:13 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 14 Jul 2026 – 19 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Jul 2026	0.5%
19 Jul 2026	5.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	84.77K
Ru386	Yes	5.56K
kingjunked	Yes	5.34K
Flamingtuta	Yes	2.68K

10 of 27 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 The Open Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the The Open Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the The Open Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 25, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).