Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54%. Yes opened at 48% on 13 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 66 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2026 to 17 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 14 Aug 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 25 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 47% on 1 Sep 2026. $84.65 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 4:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 48.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 46.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bjprolo | Yes | 12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Premium Liiga (Estonia) for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Premium Liiga (Estonia) for the 2026 season per the rules of Premium Liiga (Estonia) (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Premium Liiga (Estonia); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-soccer-premium-liiga-estonia-runner-up
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