Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 13 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 19 Sep 2026 and the low 33.5% on 27 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 33.5% on 27 Sep 2026. $79.6 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 11:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 4 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 81.4 |
| 81dgd | Yes | 17.6 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 12 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Brazil Série B for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Brazil Série B for the 2026 season per the rules of Brazil Série B (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Brazil Série B; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-soccer-brazil-srie-b-runner-up
| HDGB | Yes | 1.8 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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