Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 55%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 13 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2026 to 20 Sep 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 23 Aug 2026 and the lowest 41.5% on 28 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 49.5% on 6 Sep 2026. $62 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 20, 4:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 20 Sep 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 43.5% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HDGB | Yes | 62 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 62 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 12 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Brazil Série A for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Brazil Série A for the 2026 season per the rules of Brazil Série A (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Brazil Série A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-soccer-brazil-srie-a-runner-up
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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