Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Farmers Insurance Open?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.0K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 2, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 30 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 2 Feb 2026, the highest close was 44.5% on 30 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 2 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 19.4% on 31 Jan 2026. $3K traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 3, 8:22 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 2 Feb 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Jan 2026	44.5%
2 Feb 2026	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.78K
Bright Pioneer 27D0	Yes	2K
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	212
t189	Yes	166

10 of 10 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Farmers Insurance Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Farmers Insurance Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Farmers Insurance Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by February 8, 2026 at 12:00AM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Resolution source: https://www.pgatour.com/leaderboard