Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 47.5%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 47.5% on 14 Mar 2026 and the low 39.5% on 26 Feb 2026.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 9:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 41.5% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mdgc | No | 210 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 200 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the team that is officially determined as the winner of the 2026 American conference championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 American conference championship per the rules of the American (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a conference champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-cbb-american-champion
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