Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 9 Mar 2026, the highest close was 21.5% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 3% on 7 Mar 2026.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 9 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 21.5% |
| 9 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.4K |
| DavidShekel | Yes | 4.92K |
| SunlineTicker | Yes | 537.47 |
| Orderly-Key | Yes | 525.73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution source: https://www.pgatour.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-arnold-palmer-invitational-presented-by-mastercard-winner
| Rapid Pulse C73C | Yes | 373 |
| Loose-Overexertion | Yes | 210.91 |
| Amber Horizon 6EB5 | Yes | 146.9 |
| Anon63S | Yes | 100 |
| Excitable-View | Yes | 92.38 |
| Emerald Voyager 5921 | Yes | 70.22 |
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