Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 50% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 9.5% on 5 Mar 2026.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 2:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 7 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution source: https://www.pgatour.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-arnold-palmer-invitational-presented-by-mastercard-top5
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