Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.5%. Yes opened at 52% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 52% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 50% on 6 Mar 2026.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 2:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 52.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution source: https://www.pgatour.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-arnold-palmer-invitational-presented-by-mastercard-top20
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