Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 89% on 7 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 7 Jun 2024 to 10 Jul 2024, the highest close was 99.8% on 10 Jul 2024 and the lowest 87% on 11 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 96% on 8 Jun 2024. $114.34K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 3:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 7 Jun 2024 – 10 Jul 2024, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jun 2024 | 89.0% |
| 10 Jul 2024 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Resolution source: https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2024-june-hottest-on-record
| Richkyo | No | 14.29 |
| hldsreer | Yes | 4.02 |
| oyuiywsjh | Yes | 3.28 |
| Oceanwhisper | Yes | 1.15 |
| Dreamwhale | Yes | 1.15 |
| No.1 | No | 1.11 |
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