Analytics
Yes is at 41%, down 15 points from 56.5% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 38% on 24 Oct 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “1win FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$5.53 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $505.99 since listing. The order book holds $3.45K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is gydmasg with 248 shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 193.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 9:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 56.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 41.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gydmasg | Yes | 247.52 |
| AJSV | No | 193.06 |
| Silver Atlas DDDA | No | 70 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of 1win's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by 1win after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If 1win (https://x.com/1winToken) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1win-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| unkwnn |
| Yes |
| 57.69 |
| nastynian | No | 22.18 |
| Flingflonger | No | 20 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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