26 October 2026 ceremony · results and recorded odds
- Result
- Harry Kane won the men's Ballon d'Or 2026, and Alexia Putellas the women's award. The 70th ceremony was at the London Palladium on Monday 26 October 2026. Source: UEFA: Harry Kane wins the 2026 men's Ballon d'OrSource: UEFA: Alexia Putellas wins the 2026 women's Ballon d'Or
- On this page
- The official broadcasters, the latest Polymarket prices Vultax recorded for the men's and women's awards, and how the markets settle.
Harry Kane won. The market had him at 76.7% eleven minutes before the start.
A month earlier it was a coin toss: on the evening of 1 Oct Lamine Yamal reached 60.8% and Kane fell to 31.6%. The lead changed hands 18 times before Kane went ahead for good on 6 Oct. Vultax read the market 2,405 times on the way in; this is that record.
- Men's Ballon d'OrHarry Kane
Last Polymarket price before the start: 76.7%
UEFA report - Women's Ballon d'OrAlexia Putellas
The room kept the men's market only; no women's price is recorded here.
UEFA report
- First read25 Sept57.5%Kane ahead of Yamal (22.2%)
- Kane's low1 Oct31.6%Yamal led, 60.1% that read
- Ahead for good6 Oct47.9%The 18th and last lead change
- Before the start26 Oct76.7%Mbappé 17.2%, Yamal 6.1%
The last board before the start
Men's winner market, read 26 Oct 2026, 19:49 UTC
- Harry KaneWon76.7%
- Kylian Mbappé17.2%
- Lamine Yamal6.1%
- Lionel Messi<1%
- Ousmane Dembélé<1%
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia<1%
- Rodri<1%
- Fabian Ruiz<1%
The ceremony is over. The season is not.
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Prices are Polymarket's displayed prices as the Vultax room read them about every 15 minutes, drawn here at the first read of each six hours. They are not trades, the market's settlement or a Vultax forecast, and the winners are UEFA's. The read time is the room's clock; Polymarket's own update time was not kept.
The 2026 record
Polymarket read, 24 Oct 2026, 13:43 UTC: Harry Kane 66.15¢, Kylian Mbappé 23.55¢, Lamine Yamal 8.35¢, of 14 men's contracts then priced. Displayed prices, not trades or a Vultax forecast.
Result: Harry Kane won the men's award, as UEFA reported. Polymarket's market settles under its own rules, apart from the award.
2026 odds researchCheckpoint data (JSON)Recorded odds
The latest Polymarket prices Vultax recorded for the 2026 winner markets.
Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane Source: UEFA: Harry Kane wins the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or
Women's Ballon d'Or 2026: Alexia Putellas Source: UEFA: Alexia Putellas wins the 2026 women's Ballon d'Or
The Ballon d'Or markets could not be read just now. This screen tries again once a minute while it is open.
Polymarket prices for the 2026 winner markets, read by Vultax about once a minute while this tab is open and shown as probabilities. The 24h column is the change in percentage points.
Your call
Calls are closed: the men's result is on Vultax's sourced record.Calls are closed. Each was locked on this device at the prices of its moment. A saved call is shown below and is scored when the relevant result is on Vultax's sourced record.
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Official 2026 broadcasters
DAZN was listed to show the ceremony free after sign-up in most countries; in France it was scheduled live and free on L'Équipe. Where a local broadcaster held the rights, the organiser's advance guide named it.
- DAZNFree after sign-up in most countries
- L'Équipe TVFrance, free
- Official guide by countryBallon d'Or, 5 Oct 2026
Source: Ballon d'Or: where to watch the 2026 ceremony live (5 Oct 2026)Source: DAZN: DAZN will broadcast the Ballon d'Or to fans around the world (8 Sep 2026)
Scheduled start by time zone
| Where | Local start | Day |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles | 13:00 PDT | Mon 26 Oct |
| Mexico City | 14:00 CST | Mon 26 Oct |
| New York, Toronto | 16:00 EDT | Mon 26 Oct |
| São Paulo, Buenos Aires | 17:00 BRT | Mon 26 Oct |
| London, Lisbon | 20:00 GMT | Mon 26 Oct |
| Lagos | 21:00 WAT | Mon 26 Oct |
| Paris, Madrid, Berlin | 21:00 CET | Mon 26 Oct |
| Tallinn, Athens | 22:00 EET | Mon 26 Oct |
| Istanbul, Riyadh | 23:00 UTC+3 | Mon 26 Oct |
| Dubai | 00:00 GST | Tue 27 Oct (the next day) |
| Delhi, Mumbai | 01:30 IST | Tue 27 Oct (the next day) |
| Tokyo, Seoul | 05:00 JST | Tue 27 Oct (the next day) |
| Sydney | 07:00 AEDT | Tue 27 Oct (the next day) |
The scheduled start of the evening. Europe has left summer time by 26 October; the United States has not.
The award's dates, and the market's
- Evaluation period opens
3 Aug 2025 to 19 Jul 2026: the performances the 2026 award covers.
Source: Ballon d'Or: the 2026 evaluation period - Nominees announced
UEFA publishes the 2026 shortlists.
Source: UEFA: nominees announced for the 2026 Ballon d'Or awards - Jury vote closes
As reported by EFE.
Source: beIN Sports / EFE: voting for the Ballon d'Or closes (28 Sep 2026) - Ceremony, London Palladium
Scheduled start 20:00 GMT.
Source: UEFA ticketing: when and where is the 70th Ballon d'Or - Men's market fallbackMarket rule
No winner declared by 23:59 ET resolves the Polymarket market to Other.
Source: Polymarket: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 rules
Ballon d'Or 2026: the ceremony, how it was shown and the market
- When was the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony scheduled?
- For Monday 26 October 2026 from 20:00 GMT at the London Palladium, the first ceremony held in England.
- Source: UEFA ticketing: when and where is the 70th Ballon d'Or
- Who held the rights to show the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- In the advance listings, DAZN was listed to show the ceremony free after sign-up in most countries, except where a local broadcaster held the rights; in France L'Équipe was scheduled to show it live and free on TV, its website and its app. The organiser's guide listed the broadcaster for each country.
- Source: Ballon d'Or: where to watch the 2026 ceremony live (5 Oct 2026), DAZN: DAZN will broadcast the Ballon d'Or to fans around the world (8 Sep 2026)
- Was a free official Ballon d'Or stream listed?
- In most countries, yes: DAZN was listed to show the ceremony after a free sign-up, and L'Équipe was scheduled in France. Where a local broadcaster held the rights, the organiser's guide named it.
- Source: Ballon d'Or: where to watch the 2026 ceremony live (5 Oct 2026), DAZN (sign-up; availability depends on your country)
- Who won the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- Harry Kane won the men's Ballon d'Or 2026, and Alexia Putellas the women's award. London Palladium, 26 October 2026. On Polymarket, Kane's own contract had resolved Yes when read at 05:48:48 UTC on 27 Oct 2026; the event itself was not closed then, with some other contracts still open. Event volume is the lifetime total as read then. Polymarket's winner markets settle under their own rules, apart from the announcement; a price still quoted is not the result.
- Source: UEFA: Harry Kane wins the 2026 men's Ballon d'Or, UEFA: Alexia Putellas wins the 2026 women's Ballon d'Or
- What is the Vultax podium model?
- A calculation on Polymarket's men's winner prices. It rescales them to add up to 100%, then fills the podium one place at a time in proportion to price (the Harville rule), which gives each player's implied chance of a top-three finish. Vultax sets that beside the separately traded top-3 market. Its only inputs are those prices, with no football data, and it has no validated track record on the Ballon d'Or.
- Source: The podium model, with its working
- When did Ballon d'Or voting close, and why do the odds still move?
- The jury's vote closed on 28 September 2026, as EFE reported. The 2026 award covers performances from 3 August 2025 to 19 July 2026, so a late price move is traders updating their view of ballots already cast, often on reports, rather than new sporting evidence.
- Source: beIN Sports / EFE: voting for the Ballon d'Or closes (28 Sep 2026), Ballon d'Or: the 2026 evaluation period
- When were the 2026 Ballon d'Or nominees announced?
- UEFA announced the 2026 nominees on 8 September 2026. The full Ballon d'Or room lists every player Polymarket prices.
- Source: UEFA: nominees announced for the 2026 Ballon d'Or awards
- When does the Polymarket Ballon d'Or market settle?
- The men's winner market resolves on the winner France Football declares. If no winner is declared by 31 December 2026 at 23:59 Eastern Time, it resolves to Other: a market fallback deadline, separate from the ceremony date and from the end date the market lists. The women's and placing markets have their own rules.
- Source: Polymarket: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 rules
The full odds, their history and selected past winner markets scored are in the Ballon d'Or odds room.