Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 309.48K | $0.908 | $292.45K | +$11.28K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6K | $0.570 | $3.42K | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 84.68K |
| $0.832 |
| $79.17K |
| +$8.69K |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 77.65K | $0.856 | $65.61K | -$863.05 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 51.07K | $0.862 | $44.17K | +$135.74 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 43.98K | $0.855 | $37.6K | -$0.31 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 24.21K | $0.826 | $20.57K | +$579.75 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 17.57K | $0.838 | $15.2K | +$474.6 |
| Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | No | 15.74K | $0.977 | $14.83K | -$545.51 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 8.3K | $0.870 | $6.93K | -$290.37 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 5.51K | $0.810 | $4.93K | +$468.11 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | Yes | 6.74K | $0.800 | $4.24K | -$1.15K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 0.66 | $0.765 | $0.56 | +$0.05 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 0.17 | $0.918 | $0.16 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 13.8K |
| $0.927 |
| $12.79K |
| 1d ago |
| Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 10.22K | $0.986 | $10.08K | 1d ago |
| Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 15.74K | $0.977 | $15.38K | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Yes | sell | 60.99 | $0.720 | $43.91 | 2d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 5.4K | $0.860 | $4.65K | 3d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 442.71 | $0.850 | $376.3 | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 2.33K | $0.820 | $1.91K | 10d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Yes | buy | 6.8K | $0.800 | $5.44K | 10d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4.98K | $0.828 | $4.12K | 10d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 3.53K | $0.830 | $2.93K | 10d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 8.3K | $0.870 | $7.22K | 10d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 27.53K | $0.870 | $23.95K | 11d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 14.05K | $0.840 | $11.8K | 11d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 11.23K | $0.825 | $9.27K | 11d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 115.23 | $0.810 | $93.34 | 15d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.72K | $0.960 | $1.66K | 15d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 7.39K | $0.850 | $6.28K | 15d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 14.14K | $0.971 | $13.73K | 16d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 9.3K | $0.840 | $7.81K | 16d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | sell | 46.46K | $0.880 | $40.88K | 16d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.830 | $1.16K | 18d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 13.76K | $0.890 | $12.25K | 18d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | sell | 1.22K | $0.901 | $1.1K | 18d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Yes | buy | 11.19K | $0.930 | $10.41K | 22d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 93.5K | $0.940 | $87.88K | 24d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 1.95K | $0.940 | $1.83K | 27d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 14.24K | $0.880 | $12.53K | 27d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 4.14K | $0.930 | $3.85K | 27d ago |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | buy | 2.63K | $0.980 | $2.57K | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 31.51K | $0.990 | $31.18K | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?No | buy | 1.8K | $0.959 | $1.73K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 392.19 | $0.650 | $254.92 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?No | buy | 812 | $0.940 | $763.28 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 471.91 | $0.540 | $254.83 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.25K | $0.220 | $495.39 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.550 | $1.38K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.63K | $0.696 | $2.53K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | buy | 3.82K | $0.960 | $3.67K | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?No | buy | 14.13K | $0.989 | $13.97K | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | buy | 5.68K | $0.860 | $4.89K | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 17.93K | $0.866 | $15.52K | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.78K | $0.880 | $1.57K | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 37.2K | $0.929 | $34.55K | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.55K | $0.880 | $1.37K | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 9.95K | $0.885 | $8.81K | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 7K | $0.910 | $6.37K | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No | buy | 5.88K | $0.829 | $4.87K | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.18K | $0.910 | $19.27K | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.51K | $0.935 | $7.96K | Jul 21, 2026 |