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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 15.15 | $0.330 | $8.56 | +$3.56 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 17.86 |
| $0.280 |
| $5.62 |
| +$0.62 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8.47 | $0.590 | $3.77 | -$1.23 |
| buy |
| 11.11 |
| $0.450 |
| $5 |
| 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | 2d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | 5d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | 8d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | 11d ago |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | 14d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | 14d ago |
 Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | 17d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | 19d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 6.68 | $0.710 | $4.74 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.390 | $1.26 | 20d ago |
 Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | 23d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | 27d ago |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | 28d ago |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.380 | $1.2 | 29d ago |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 5.86 | $0.510 | $2.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.500 | $2.04 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.502 | $2.04 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.350 | $1.05 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 4.06 | $0.680 | $2.76 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?No | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.450 | $1.37 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 6.84 | $0.250 | $1.71 | Jul 24, 2026 |