Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 133.53 | $0.974 | $130 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 130.52 |
| $0.996 |
| $130 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.2 | $0.969 | $100 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?No | buy | 120.08 | $0.991 | $119 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 120.48 | $0.998 | $120.24 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.996 | $120 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?No | buy | 110.78 | $0.993 | $110 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 120.97 | $0.992 | $120 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 24?No | buy | 100.4 | $0.996 | $100 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 110.57 | $0.995 | $110 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?Yes | buy | 120.72 | $0.994 | $120 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?No | buy | 632.53 | $0.008 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?No | buy | 576.02 | $0.007 | $4 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?No | buy | 105.88 | $0.340 | $36 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?No | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?No | buy | 571.43 | $0.007 | $4 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 140.11 | $0.007 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 147.44 | $0.007 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 591.72 | $0.006 | $3.7 | May 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 553.85 | $0.013 | $7.2 | May 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 553.85 | $0.013 | $7.2 | May 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 538.46 | $0.013 | $7 | May 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 103.84 | $0.963 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.49 | $0.980 | $100.44 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?Yes | buy | 100.58 | $0.992 | $99.77 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 105.54 | $0.989 | $104.38 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No | buy | 104.38 | $0.986 | $102.92 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 377.12 | $0.960 | $361.88 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 307.6 | $0.995 | $306.06 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 306.06 | $0.978 | $299.33 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 299.33 | $0.983 | $294.14 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 294.14 | $0.958 | $281.79 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 281.79 | $0.985 | $277.46 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 277.46 | $0.987 | $273.85 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 273.85 | $0.984 | $269.47 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 269.47 | $0.989 | $266.51 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | sell | 296.81 | $0.999 | $296.51 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 296.81 | $0.938 | $278.5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?No | buy | 278.49 | $0.981 | $273.2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 273.2 | $0.980 | $267.74 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 281.82 | $0.011 | $3.1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 71.42 | $0.980 | $69.99 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 199.42 | $0.979 | $195.23 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1?Up | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No | sell | 285.51 | $0.999 | $285.22 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No | buy | 285.51 | $0.994 | $283.8 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 283.79 | $0.962 | $273.01 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 282.05 | $0.039 | $11 | Jan 19, 2026 |