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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.998 | $35.93 | 2d ago |
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| buy |
| 36 |
| $0.999 |
| $35.96 |
| Aug 1, 2026 |
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.996 | $43.82 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?No | buy | 45 | $0.996 | $44.82 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?Yes | buy | 118 | $0.999 | $117.88 | May 23, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?No | buy | 88 | $0.999 | $87.91 | May 23, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | buy | 148 | $0.997 | $147.56 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No | buy | 57.99 | $0.998 | $57.87 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026No | buy | 45 | $0.999 | $44.96 | Mar 28, 2026 |
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?No | buy | 62 | $0.993 | $61.57 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?Yes | buy | 0.99 | $0.999 | $0.99 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 188.6 | $0.999 | $188.41 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 50.55 | $0.998 | $50.45 | Jan 19, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 50.45 | $0.997 | $50.3 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?No | buy | 28.31 | $0.992 | $28.08 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?No | buy | 25.08 | $0.980 | $24.58 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $300?No | buy | 31.54 | $0.992 | $31.29 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 20.29 | $0.999 | $20.27 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No | buy | 70.27 | $0.998 | $70.11 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 18.09 | $0.995 | $18 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Keir Starmer win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 17.02 | $0.999 | $17 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 30.12 | $0.996 | $30 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Other be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.89 | $0.986 | $28.49 | Oct 7, 2025 |