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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 9.08 | $0.991 | $9 | May 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 7.93 |
| $0.857 |
| $6.8 |
| May 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.981 | $5.77 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.989 | $5.75 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Cerebras IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.09 | $0.919 | $3.76 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.990 | $7 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.07 | $0.991 | $8 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.959 | $4.87 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 21?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.910 | $6.43 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.740 | $4 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.968 | $67.76 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.79 | $0.968 | $7.54 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $200 in January?No | buy | 15 | $0.976 | $14.64 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Solana reach $190 in January?No | buy | 6 | $0.959 | $5.75 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?No | sell | 13.92 | $0.997 | $13.88 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 20.4 | $0.049 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 182.38 | $0.957 | $174.54 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 196.45 | $0.868 | $170.6 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 196.46 | $0.858 | $168.56 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?No | buy | 13.93 | $0.960 | $13.37 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by October 31?No | buy | 3.86 | $0.950 | $3.67 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy announces >4000 BTC purchase October 7-13?No | buy | 4.1 | $0.975 | $4 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Heather Humphreys win by 15–20%?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.994 | $3.23 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 $YZY listed on Coinbase or Binance by September 30?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $6.00 in September?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.993 | $4 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump endorse Eric Adams?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.989 | $3.9 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by September 30?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.978 | $2.65 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Pakistan by September 30?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.992 | $3.34 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.970 | $2.17 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook arrested by September 30?No | buy | 4.78 | $0.976 | $4.67 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by September 30?No | buy | 3.79 | $0.969 | $3.67 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.987 | $2.8 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?No | buy | 4.24 | $0.998 | $4.23 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?No | buy | 3.54 | $0.988 | $3.5 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.949 | $2.76 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on August 31?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.930 | $2.78 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Bull run: SeptemberNo | buy | 2.48 | $0.987 | $2.45 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.32 | $0.940 | $3.12 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Tether acquire Circle before September?No | buy | 5.58 | $0.996 | $5.56 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.972 | $6 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | buy | 5.84 | $0.950 | $5.55 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by August 31?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.770 | $4 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Congress authorizes military force against Iran before August?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel before August?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.974 | $6.34 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.986 | $5.67 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Megaquake before August?No | buy | 5.92 | $0.946 | $5.6 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved before August?No | buy | 5.97 | $0.984 | $5.87 | Jul 3, 2025 |