Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.959 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.21 |
| $0.960 |
| $5 |
| Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.977 | $39.08 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?No | buy | 33.06 | $0.605 | $20 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2026No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.981 | $24.53 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 6.56 | $0.991 | $6.5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 33.78 | $0.992 | $33.51 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.986 | $9.86 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 32 | $0.998 | $31.94 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 10.55 | $0.986 | $10.4 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.998 | $31.94 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 31.48 | $0.953 | $30 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 20.45 | $0.978 | $20 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 12.11 | $0.826 | $10 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No | buy | 21.32 | $0.930 | $19.83 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No | sell | 2.95 | $0.950 | $2.8 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.910 | $2.68 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | sell | 22.2 | $0.890 | $19.76 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | buy | 22.2 | $0.900 | $19.98 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.64 | $0.994 | $62.26 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.908 | $18.16 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 93.21 | $0.972 | $90.6 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.91 | $0.979 | $16.55 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.990 | $5.18 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.31 | $0.842 | $64.25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No | sell | 10 | $0.971 | $9.71 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.790 | $1.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.924 | $18.48 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?No | buy | 10 | $0.969 | $9.69 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.955 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 99.3 | $0.181 | $17.97 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 99.31 | $0.245 | $24.33 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 41.28 | $0.986 | $40.7 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 40 | $0.994 | $39.76 | Jun 8, 2026 |