Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?No | buy | 73.37 | $0.710 | $52.09 | Nov 5, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 52.1 |
| $0.965 |
| $50.3 |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will POTUS tweet more than 25 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No | buy | 43.7 | $0.999 | $43.66 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Jan 24-31?No | buy | 50.25 | $0.999 | $50.2 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 450.43 | $0.999 | $449.98 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 450.43 | $0.999 | $449.98 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 451.78 | $0.996 | $449.97 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 451.79 | $0.997 | $450.43 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 452.7 | $0.995 | $450.44 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 452.7 | $0.996 | $450.89 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 456.83 | $0.987 | $450.89 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 456.83 | $0.988 | $451.35 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 461.97 | $0.977 | $451.34 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 461.97 | $0.978 | $451.81 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 454.08 | $0.995 | $451.81 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 454.08 | $0.996 | $452.26 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No | sell | 454.08 | $0.996 | $452.26 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No | buy | 454.08 | $0.997 | $452.72 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 454.99 | $0.999 | $454.54 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 460.99 | $0.986 | $454.54 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 460.99 | $0.988 | $455.46 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 456.48 | $0.998 | $455.57 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 456.49 | $0.999 | $456.03 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Solana above $215 on January 24?Yes | buy | 50.5 | $0.998 | $50.4 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | buy | 50.3 | $0.996 | $50.1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 50.1 | $0.988 | $49.5 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?No | buy | 49.5 | $0.999 | $49.45 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 3-Jan 10?No | buy | 49.45 | $0.996 | $49.25 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 3-Jan 10?No | sell | 56.62 | $0.870 | $49.26 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 3-Jan 10?No | buy | 56.63 | $0.890 | $50.4 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Iran on Sunday Oct 20?No | buy | 47.44 | $0.983 | $46.63 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 50.4 | $0.999 | $50.35 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will Israel strike Iran on Friday Oct 18?No | buy | 36.99 | $0.998 | $36.92 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?No | buy | 34.03 | $0.999 | $34 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Israel strike Iran on Thursday Oct 17?No | buy | 31.16 | $0.995 | $31 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "marijuana" during Fox News interview?No | buy | 26 | $0.999 | $25.97 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Defund the police" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Venezuela" 3 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?No | buy | 30.09 | $0.997 | $30 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.999 | $26.97 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 229.79 | $0.456 | $104.78 | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 229.8 | $0.446 | $102.49 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "god" 10 or more times during California rally on October 12?No | buy | 102.49 | $0.999 | $102.39 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Clemson beat Wake Forest?Clemson | buy | 102.39 | $0.999 | $102.29 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 Bournemouth wins the Premier League?No | sell | 102.6 | $0.997 | $102.29 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Bournemouth wins the Premier League?No | buy | 102.61 | $0.998 | $102.4 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 102.02 | $0.986 | $100.59 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 205.29 | $0.490 | $100.59 | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 205.3 | $0.491 | $100.8 | Sep 30, 2024 |