Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 419 | $0.930 | $366.63 | -$22.96 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.760 | $152 | Jun 8, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.683 |
| $185.3 |
| +$48.7 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 109.99 | $0.712 | $92.4 | +$14.1 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 80.58 | $0.241 | $47.3 | +$27.89 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.760 | $20 | -$132 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.093 | $17.07 | +$15.21 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 16.84 | $0.815 | $16.23 | +$2.5 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 14 | $0.930 | $13.71 | +$0.69 |
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.130 | $2 | -$4.5 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 55.14 | $0.700 | $0.14 | -$38.46 |
| buy |
| 419 |
| $0.930 |
| $389.59 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.997 | $498.49 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 155.28 | $0.980 | $152.17 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 80.58 | $0.241 | $19.41 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 16.84 | $0.815 | $13.73 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 69 | $0.730 | $50.37 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.849 | $169.8 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?No | buy | 94.21 | $0.984 | $92.71 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.683 | $136.6 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.966 | $48.3 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 694.77 | $0.987 | $685.74 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 88.42 | $0.004 | $0.35 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 200 | $0.990 | $198 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 45.95 | $0.220 | $10.11 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 95.19 | $0.450 | $42.84 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 65.89 | $0.138 | $9.07 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.380 | $57 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 122.53 | $0.058 | $7.17 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | sell | 10 | $0.942 | $9.42 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 29.79 | $0.940 | $28 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.480 | $144 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.279 | $27.91 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 489.29 | $0.370 | $181.04 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.338 | $33.8 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 10 | $0.817 | $8.17 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 106.16 | $0.942 | $100 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 247.39 | $0.958 | $237 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 146 | $0.992 | $144.83 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.936 | $93.57 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.002 | $0.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 69.39 | $0.980 | $68 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.298 | $44.74 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 65.5 | $0.073 | $4.77 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?Down | sell | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.270 | $10.8 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?Down | buy | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Sophie Baek get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.988 | $148.2 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.400 | $12 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?No | buy | 11.95 | $0.093 | $1.11 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Sophie Baek get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.988 | $19.76 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.930 | $13.02 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.260 | $13 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.620 | $18.6 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.440 | $6.6 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Sophie Baek get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?Yes | buy | 16.18 | $0.988 | $15.99 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.650 | $19.5 | Feb 17, 2026 |