Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 64.1 | $0.312 | $24.49 | +$4.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | 19d ago |
|
| No |
| 23.26 |
| $0.430 |
| $19.65 |
| +$9.65 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.93 | $0.670 | $13.51 | +$3.51 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 13.7 | $0.730 | $11.44 | +$1.44 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10.59 | +$0.59 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 118.18 | $0.102 | $7.68 | -$4.32 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.110 | $5.91 | -$4.09 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $5 | -$5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 117.65 | $0.085 | $4.53 | -$5.47 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.280 | $3.75 | -$6.25 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 8.65 | $0.192 | $2.1 | +$0.44 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5.87 | $0.341 | $1.23 | -$0.77 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 13.51 | $0.370 | $0.88 | -$4.12 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $0.71 | -$9.29 |
| buy |
| 31.25 |
| $0.160 |
| $5 |
| 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | 20d ago |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group StageXtreme Gaming | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | 26d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Spirit | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | 27d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 340.33 | $0.029 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 519.26 | $0.019 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 16.76 | $0.597 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?No | buy | 77.31 | $0.129 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.312 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will England win on 2026-07-15?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?Yes | buy | 18.3 | $0.547 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Yes | buy | 33.79 | $0.296 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes | buy | 24.63 | $0.406 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 70.92 | $0.141 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 53.19 | $0.188 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 18.63 | $0.805 | $15 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.87 | $0.341 | $2 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | sell | 45.73 | $0.026 | $1.17 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.720 | $3 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.65 | $0.192 | $1.66 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown | buy | 3.78 | $0.490 | $1.85 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown | buy | 15.85 | $0.110 | $1.74 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.085 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?Yes | buy | 29.2 | $0.324 | $9.46 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 13 | $0.769 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.810 | $9 | Apr 16, 2026 |