Analytics
Profile detail last fetched 56m ago. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.940 | $4.83 | +$0.13 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 5 |
| $0.580 |
| $4.63 |
| +$1.73 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 115.3 | $0.130 | $4.44 | -$10.55 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 10 | $0.730 | $2.7 | -$4.6 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 10 | $0.150 | $1.85 | +$0.35 |
| buy |
| 250 |
| $0.004 |
| $0.99 |
| Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?No | buy | 5 | $0.971 | $4.85 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?No | sell | 30 | $0.760 | $22.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?No | buy | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.997 | $9.97 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 1?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Grok 4.20 released by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.997 | $49.85 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Grok 4.20 released by December 31?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.996 | $8.67 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.897 | $4.49 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?Yes | buy | 0.93 | $0.970 | $0.9 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.984 | $4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.985 | $4.93 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.998 | $29.94 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20.66 | $0.968 | $20 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.998 | $49.9 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.976 | $4.88 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.918 | $9.18 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 115.3 | $0.130 | $14.99 | Dec 22, 2025 |