Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | No | 38 | $0.500 | $31.35 | +$12.35 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 7 | $0.890 | $6.23 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 7 |
| $0.890 |
| $6.55 |
| +$0.32 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 6 | $0.940 | $5.83 | +$0.19 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.074 | $1.29 | -$0.19 |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 17 | $0.360 | $1.28 | -$4.85 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7 | $0.160 | $0.46 | -$0.67 |
| buy |
| 7 |
| $0.949 |
| $6.64 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.038 | $1.52 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.038 | $1.52 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.926 | $4.63 | May 27, 2026 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.074 | $1.48 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.940 | $5.64 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 12 | $0.522 | $6.26 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.360 | $6.12 | May 27, 2026 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.074 | $1.41 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.091 | $1.09 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.140 | $1.12 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.240 | $2.16 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.101 | $2.93 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.899 | $8.99 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.160 | $1.44 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.850 | $7.65 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.160 | $1.12 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 11 | $0.928 | $10.21 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.073 | $1.02 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 11 | $0.916 | $10.08 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.084 | $1.18 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 16 | $0.990 | $15.84 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 48 | $0.992 | $47.62 | Mar 12, 2026 |