Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 837.89 | $0.002 | $1.68 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 13.04 |
| $0.140 |
| $1.83 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETDown | buy | 12 | $0.570 | $6.84 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETDown | buy | 14.99 | $0.090 | $1.35 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETDown | buy | 34 | $0.041 | $1.39 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | sell | 40 | $0.298 | $11.92 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | sell | 50 | $0.520 | $26 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 50 | $0.360 | $18 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | sell | 60 | $0.490 | $29.4 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 60 | $0.333 | $20 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 56.82 | $0.440 | $25 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 64.14 | $0.210 | $13.47 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 9.53 | $0.105 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 9.54 | $0.105 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump Sanction UNRWA in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.986 | $4.93 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?No | sell | 3.89 | $0.920 | $3.58 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?No | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 24?Up | sell | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 23?Up | sell | 25 | $0.020 | $0.5 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.978 | $4.89 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 6.66 | $0.620 | $4.13 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.003 | $1.02 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.075 | $5.25 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.076 | $5.32 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 15-21?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.015 | $0.15 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.041 | $0.41 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 20?Up | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 15-21?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19?Up | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump Sanction UNRWA in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12?Down | buy | 8 | $0.370 | $2.96 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11?Down | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.999 | $7.68 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down on December 11?Down | sell | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |