Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.53 | $0.686 | $1.89 | -$0.54 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.674 | $1 | 20d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.71 |
| $0.880 |
| $1.68 |
| +$0.17 |
 Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election? | Yes | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.22 | $0.835 | $1.14 | +$0.13 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | Yes | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | No | 1.22 | $0.810 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 1.25 | $0.572 | $1.08 | +$0.36 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.1 | $0.820 | $1.07 | +$0.16 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.879 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Yes | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | +$0 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 1.08 | $0.926 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | No | 2.02 | $0.495 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $0.93 | -$0.07 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 0.19 | $0.912 | $0.18 | +$0.01 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.33 | $0.070 | $0.17 | +$0.15 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 53.58 | $0.014 | $0.13 | -$0.62 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | Yes | 6 | $0.060 | $0.1 | -$0.26 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | No | 0.64 | $0.390 | $0.06 | -$0.19 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%? | Yes | 1 | $0.100 | $0.01 | -$0.09 |
| sell |
| 1.33 |
| $0.880 |
| $1.17 |
| 24d ago |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.381 | $0.73 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.879 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 0.56 | $0.927 | $0.52 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.772 | $1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.670 | $0.84 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.926 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.495 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.976 | $2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.895 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.780 | $0.2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.995 | $1.04 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.32 | $0.310 | $0.1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.024 | $0.43 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.681 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.47 | $0.809 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 2.58 | $0.920 | $2.37 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.835 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.999 | $1.15 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.808 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.185 | $0.68 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.918 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 0.91 | $0.936 | $0.85 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.340 | $0.22 | May 26, 2026 |