Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 27.59 | $0.290 | $6.69 | -$1.31 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 5.19 |
| $0.770 |
| $4 |
| Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.600 | $4 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.56 | $0.036 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.780 | $4 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.022 | $3 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Zelensky resigns in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Pakistan strike on India by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will the government shutdown end November 13?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Sep 27, 2025 |
US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.180 | $8 | Sep 27, 2025 |
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.58 | $0.810 | $11 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jul 10, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Elon register the America Party before October?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.740 | $8 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Elon register the America Party in July?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will no leader be out in 2025?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during June Press Conference?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.650 | $4 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Jun 11, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.022 | $3 | Jun 11, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.570 | $15 | Jun 11, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | May 19, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?No | buy | 13.58 | $0.810 | $11 | May 19, 2025 |
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 19, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.798 | $4 | May 14, 2025 |
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | May 14, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?No | buy | 13.93 | $0.933 | $13 | May 14, 2025 |