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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.45 | $0.330 | $18.63 | +$11.55 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 14.3 | $0.770 | $11.01 | 6d ago |
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| No |
| 5 |
| $0.380 |
| $0.11 |
| -$1.79 |
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.640 | $0 | -$5.12 |
| buy |
| 437.97 |
| $0.996 |
| $436.22 |
| 15d ago |
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | sell | 8.71 | $0.380 | $3.31 | 25d ago |
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.987 | $4.94 | 25d ago |
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.954 | $4.77 | 25d ago |
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 25d ago |
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?No | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | 25d ago |
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | 25d ago |
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 8.74 | $0.580 | $5.07 | 25d ago |
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 25d ago |
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 0.59 | $0.620 | $0.37 | 25d ago |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | 25d ago |
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 8.52 | $0.170 | $1.45 | 25d ago |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | sell | 10.85 | $0.240 | $2.6 | 25d ago |
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 6.73 | $0.890 | $5.99 | 25d ago |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.83 | $0.690 | $7.47 | 25d ago |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 14.27 | $0.640 | $9.13 | 25d ago |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 15.79 | $0.650 | $10.26 | 25d ago |
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | sell | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 25d ago |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 14.6 | $0.088 | $1.28 | 25d ago |
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | sell | 8.52 | $0.250 | $2.13 | 25d ago |
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 7.1 | $0.943 | $6.7 | 25d ago |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.940 | $9.39 | 25d ago |
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | 25d ago |
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 25d ago |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 9.68 | $0.870 | $8.42 | 25d ago |
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 9.01 | $0.959 | $8.64 | 25d ago |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 10.6 | $0.700 | $7.42 | 25d ago |
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | 25d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.41 | $0.794 | $10.65 | 25d ago |
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | sell | 13.39 | $0.960 | $12.85 | 25d ago |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | sell | 13.36 | $0.969 | $12.95 | 25d ago |
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?No | sell | 14.19 | $0.984 | $13.96 | 25d ago |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 13.36 | $0.968 | $12.93 | 26d ago |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 14.11 | $0.180 | $2.54 | 27d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?No | sell | 14.36 | $0.880 | $12.64 | 28d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.41 | $0.837 | $11.22 | 28d ago |
Will Kai or Speed die to an Ender Dragon?No | buy | 13.41 | $0.999 | $13.4 | 28d ago |
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?Yes | buy | 13.4 | $0.974 | $13.05 | 29d ago |
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?No | sell | 13.37 | $0.999 | $13.36 | 29d ago |
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?No | buy | 13.37 | $0.999 | $13.36 | 29d ago |
Will Kai or Speed die to a Warden?No | buy | 13.37 | $0.998 | $13.34 | 29d ago |
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?No | sell | 12.46 | $0.040 | $0.5 | 29d ago |
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Yes | sell | 12.46 | $0.870 | $10.84 | 29d ago |
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Yes | buy | 12.46 | $0.952 | $11.86 | 29d ago |
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Yes | buy | 12.46 | $0.598 | $7.45 | 29d ago |
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | sell | 12.95 | $0.462 | $5.98 | 29d ago |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 14.19 | $0.910 | $12.91 | Aug 12, 2026 |
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 13.17 | $0.851 | $11.2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.78 | $0.640 | $8.82 | Aug 12, 2026 |