Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 47.81 | $0.430 | $41.36 | +$20.8 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 30.55 | $0.166 | $5.07 | May 29, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 31.74 |
| $0.565 |
| $29.41 |
| +$11.47 |
| buy |
| 7.22 |
| $0.693 |
| $5 |
| May 26, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.784 | $4 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?Yes | buy | 7.31 | $0.766 | $5.6 | May 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.27 | $0.920 | $7.61 | May 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.23 | $0.910 | $7.49 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 30.56 | $0.324 | $9.9 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 20.28 | $0.690 | $13.99 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 33.02 | $0.480 | $15.85 | May 3, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 12.55 | $0.910 | $11.42 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Yes | sell | 0.88 | $0.790 | $0.7 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.701 | $0.18 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.316 | $0.03 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.24 | $0.562 | $4.07 | May 3, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 12.57 | $0.930 | $11.69 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.98 | $0.562 | $2.24 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 30.75 | $0.316 | $9.72 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.325 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 28.49 | $0.280 | $7.98 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?Yes | sell | 15.39 | $0.510 | $7.85 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 36.19 | $0.430 | $15.56 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?Yes | sell | 16.2 | $0.530 | $8.59 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.5 | $0.300 | $8.55 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 33.04 | $0.540 | $17.84 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.786 | $26.71 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?Yes | buy | 31.61 | $0.640 | $20.23 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Yes | buy | 34.88 | $0.660 | $23.02 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?No | sell | 22.14 | $0.840 | $18.6 | May 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 29.59 | $0.810 | $23.97 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 28.29 | $0.317 | $8.97 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?No | buy | 22.15 | $0.930 | $20.6 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 19.47 | $0.325 | $6.33 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 26.55 | $0.565 | $15 | May 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 9.16 | $0.540 | $4.95 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 17.72 | $0.563 | $9.98 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.86 | $0.563 | $4.99 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 17.65 | $0.340 | $6 | May 2, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 6.83 | $0.840 | $5.74 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?No | sell | 1.77 | $0.350 | $0.62 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 30.18 | $0.331 | $9.99 | May 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.59 | $0.790 | $23.38 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?No | sell | 62.11 | $0.360 | $22.36 | May 2, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.34 | $0.840 | $1.97 | May 2, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 17.54 | $0.840 | $14.73 | May 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.540 | $1.59 | May 2, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 26.72 | $0.860 | $22.98 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No | sell | 34.68 | $0.720 | $24.97 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?No | buy | 44.74 | $0.380 | $17 | May 2, 2026 |