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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 8.97K | $0.780 | $8.44K | +$1.44K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?No | buy | 225.71 | $0.886 | $200 | 29d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.42K |
| $0.619 |
| $1.76K |
| +$256.72 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 776.72 | $0.901 | $726.24 | +$26.24 |
 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 873.94 | $0.572 | $515.63 | +$15.63 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 588.24 | $0.850 | $514.71 | +$14.71 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 480.77 | $0.520 | $252.4 | +$2.4 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | No | 225.71 | $0.886 | $225.59 | +$25.59 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 104.38 | $0.958 | $102.87 | +$2.87 |
| buy |
| 235.29 |
| $0.850 |
| $200 |
| 29d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 1.27K | $0.788 | $1K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.776 | $1K | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.700 | $100 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Yes | buy | 732.16 | $0.683 | $500 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?Yes | buy | 73.48 | $0.460 | $33.8 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Yes | buy | 81.3 | $0.870 | $70.73 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Yes | buy | 210.39 | $0.475 | $100 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Yes | buy | 659.41 | $0.758 | $500 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Yes | buy | 341.71 | $0.497 | $169.83 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Yes | buy | 241.31 | $0.414 | $100 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 352.94 | $0.850 | $300 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Yes | buy | 230.52 | $0.868 | $200 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Yes | buy | 319.98 | $0.781 | $250 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.490 | $100 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?Yes | buy | 148.6 | $0.673 | $100 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Yes | buy | 270.71 | $0.739 | $200 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 549.45 | $0.910 | $500 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?No | buy | 338.52 | $0.739 | $250 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 308.64 | $0.997 | $307.71 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.962 | $0.26 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 866 | $0.961 | $832.31 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 702.28 | $0.712 | $500 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 283.6 | $0.882 | $250 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 757.58 | $0.330 | $250 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No | buy | 324.68 | $0.770 | $250 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 125.38 | $0.798 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.944 | $94.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 480.77 | $0.520 | $250 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.120 | $150 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.75K | $0.040 | $150 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.58K | $0.631 | $1K | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 106.91K | $0.047 | $5K | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 838.69 | $0.596 | $500 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 252.79 | $0.899 | $227.37 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?No | buy | 127.5 | $0.908 | $115.77 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?No | buy | 675.53 | $0.740 | $500 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?No | buy | 6.36K | $0.787 | $5K | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 239.18 | $0.924 | $221 | Feb 27, 2026 |