Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ITF Tianjin: Suk Ann vs Wishaya TrongcharoenchaikulWishaya Trongcharoenchaikul | buy | 1.86 | $0.700 | $1.3 | Aug 5, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 37.5 |
| $0.640 |
| $24 |
| Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 98.82 | $0.006 | $0.59 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.550 | $2.74 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.14 | $0.480 | $4.39 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.110 | $0.41 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 0.35 | $0.890 | $0.31 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.030 | $0.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.020 | $0.83 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 18.86 | $0.053 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?Yes | sell | 49.77 | $0.007 | $0.37 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.093 | $1.86 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 16.04 | $0.524 | $8.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.940 | $1.02 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.914 | $1.1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.988 | $1.07 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.550 | $1.11 | Jul 1, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.840 | $1.14 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.977 | $1.16 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 16.94 | $0.105 | $1.78 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | sell | 21.66 | $0.100 | $2.17 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.584 | $2.91 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 3.99 | $0.988 | $3.94 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 4.04 | $0.765 | $3.09 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 18.05 | $0.234 | $4.22 | Jul 1, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 9.97 | $0.420 | $4.19 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.122 | $4.27 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 18.22 | $0.260 | $4.74 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.340 | $5.1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 6.36 | $0.830 | $5.28 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | sell | 16.79 | $0.320 | $5.37 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 12.11 | $0.460 | $5.57 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 7.71 | $0.740 | $5.71 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 6.36 | $0.910 | $5.79 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.47 | $0.782 | $5.84 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10.37 | $0.560 | $5.81 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.94 | $0.740 | $5.88 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 7.6 | $0.846 | $6.43 | Jul 1, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 7.44 | $0.870 | $6.47 | Jul 1, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 11.52 | $0.570 | $6.57 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.29 | $0.740 | $6.87 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 8.38 | $0.850 | $7.12 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.640 | $0.98 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?No | buy | 18.7 | $0.033 | $0.62 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |