Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 23.74K | $0.443 | $16.26K | +$5.74K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?Down | buy | 18.16 | $0.500 | $9.08 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 4K |
| $0.680 |
| $3.7K |
| +$979.98 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 10K | $0.360 | $3.55K | -$50 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 7K | $0.506 | $3.33K | -$214.97 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 5K | $0.500 | $2.48K | -$25 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.01K | $0.600 | $972.43 | -$230.77 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.99K | $0.480 | $867.66 | -$89.76 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.580 | $742.47 | -$127.5 |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.850 | $467.5 | +$42.5 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.620 | $435 | -$1.43K |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 999.95 | $0.480 | $364.98 | -$114.99 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 126.07 | $0.440 | $113.78 | +$58.31 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.649 | $72.5 | -$576.42 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 81.31 | $0.630 | $62.61 | +$11.38 |
 California voter ID referendum passes? | Yes | 168.18 | $0.209 | $50.45 | +$15.36 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | 7 | $0.830 | $6.97 | +$1.16 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 5 | $0.760 | $4.68 | +$0.88 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5 | $0.780 | $4.38 | +$0.48 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 5 | $0.790 | $3 | -$0.95 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.188 | $0.68 | -$0.45 |
| buy |
| 1.25K |
| $0.999 |
| $1.25K |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?Down | buy | 16.66 | $0.450 | $7.5 | May 31, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown | buy | 600 | $0.275 | $165.18 | May 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 459.71 | $0.435 | $200 | May 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 276.57 | $0.362 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 306.42 | $0.326 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 287.52 | $0.348 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 169.94 | $0.588 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 171.1 | $0.584 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?Down | buy | 600 | $0.500 | $300 | May 27, 2026 |
 Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights | buy | 8K | $0.950 | $7.6K | May 27, 2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsAvalanche | buy | 3K | $0.520 | $1.56K | May 27, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?Down | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | May 26, 2026 |
| Canadiens vs. HurricanesCanadiens | buy | 1.1K | $0.360 | $396 | May 23, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?Down | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Canadiens vs. HurricanesHurricanes | sell | 100.28 | $0.020 | $2.01 | May 22, 2026 |
| Canadiens vs. HurricanesHurricanes | buy | 1K | $0.660 | $660 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.977 | $488.73 | May 21, 2026 |
| Canadiens vs. SabresSabres | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Canadiens vs. SabresSabres | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 346.4 | $0.998 | $345.71 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 3.41K | $0.998 | $3.4K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.996 | $1.59K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 297.99 | $0.995 | $296.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.620 | $1.86K | May 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.171 | $85.35 | May 6, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?Down | buy | 209.12 | $0.541 | $113.15 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETDown | buy | 8.61 | $0.710 | $6.12 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 16?Down | buy | 229.44 | $0.500 | $114.72 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 15?Down | sell | 1.01K | $0.001 | $1.01 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 15?Down | buy | 192 | $0.500 | $96 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 15?Down | buy | 907.55 | $0.500 | $453.77 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 14?Down | buy | 1.92K | $0.490 | $940.02 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 394.85 | $0.952 | $375.8 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?No | sell | 969.23 | $0.561 | $543.55 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?No | sell | 769.42 | $0.548 | $421.8 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.682 | $681.77 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 239.99 | $0.580 | $139.19 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 841 | $0.595 | $500.31 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.690 | $552 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?No | buy | 117.95 | $0.509 | $60.04 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 108.94 | $0.648 | $70.56 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 317.74 | $0.480 | $152.52 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?No | buy | 4.97K | $0.227 | $1.13K | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?No | buy | 2.45K | $0.540 | $1.32K | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 424.26 | $0.480 | $203.64 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 5.59K | $0.360 | $2.01K | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.660 | $2.64K | Mar 21, 2026 |