Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?No | sell | 2K | $0.999 | $2K | May 20, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2K |
| $0.999 |
| $2K |
| May 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | sell | 901.8 | $0.997 | $899.09 | May 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 901.8 | $0.998 | $900 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?No | sell | 503.44 | $0.993 | $499.92 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?No | buy | 503.44 | $0.993 | $500 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?Yes | buy | 864.6 | $0.030 | $25.81 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?Yes | buy | 722.31 | $0.070 | $50.56 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?Yes | buy | 720.53 | $0.060 | $43.23 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?Yes | buy | 618.63 | $0.070 | $43.3 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 14.08 | $0.988 | $13.91 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | buy | 2K | $0.999 | $2K | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | buy | 1K | $0.997 | $1K | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by January 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.999 | $1K | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by January 31?No | sell | 100.13 | $0.997 | $99.83 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.999 | $1.02K | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.988 | $2K | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by January 31?No | buy | 100.13 | $0.999 | $100 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by January 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.996 | $1K | Jan 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?No | buy | 101.21 | $0.988 | $100 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | sell | 2.03K | $0.996 | $2.02K | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 22?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.991 | $1K | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.048 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.048 | $480 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 2.03K | $0.984 | $2K | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.978 | $1K | Jan 14, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | sell | 2K | $0.983 | $1.97K | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 283.64 | $0.011 | $3 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No | sell | 5.04K | $0.990 | $4.99K | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No | buy | 5.04K | $0.991 | $5K | Jan 8, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.97K | $0.037 | $183.89 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?Yes | buy | 7.01K | $0.998 | $7K | Jan 3, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.993 | $198.6 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.998 | $2K | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.01K | $0.998 | $3K | Jan 3, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.998 | $1K | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 707.14 | $0.007 | $4.95 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 10.01K | $0.998 | $9.99K | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Polish snap election called in 2025?No | buy | 7.01K | $0.998 | $7K | Dec 26, 2025 |