Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 499.96 | $0.160 | $47.5 | -$32.5 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.75 | $0.160 | $3.8 | May 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 499.99 |
| $0.160 |
| $34.5 |
| -$45.5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.120 | $16 | -$32 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.110 | $3.05 | -$7.95 |
| buy |
| 5K |
| $0.009 |
| $45 |
| May 13, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes | buy | 97.22 | $0.190 | $18.47 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?Yes | sell | 599.99 | $0.098 | $58.78 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?No | sell | 1K | $0.273 | $272.96 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 US x China tariff agreement by November 10?No | sell | 2K | $0.103 | $206.82 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| US x China tariff agreement by November 10?No | buy | 1K | $0.180 | $180 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?No | buy | 55.02 | $0.400 | $22.01 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?No | buy | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| US x China tariff agreement by November 10?No | buy | 300 | $0.180 | $54 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| US x China tariff agreement by November 10?No | buy | 400 | $0.180 | $72 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?No | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| US x China tariff agreement by November 10?No | buy | 300 | $0.180 | $54 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?Yes | buy | 63.09 | $0.167 | $10.54 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?No | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?No | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.410 | $10.25 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 24.17 | $0.340 | $8.22 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 French Open: Sabalenka vs. SwiatekSabalenka | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.999 | $224.78 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.997 | $348.95 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.938 | $93.8 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.760 | $380.19 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.130 | $117 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.156 | $15.6 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 6.96 | $0.339 | $2.36 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.357 | $89.25 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 5.04K | $0.004 | $20 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 200 | $0.350 | $70 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.197 | $196.84 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.176 | $88 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell be out as Federal Reserve Chair in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | buy | 124.22 | $0.010 | $1.23 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.160 | $80 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid win La Liga?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.390 | $273 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.290 | $58 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?90k | buy | 500 | $0.145 | $72.5 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?90k | buy | 500 | $0.145 | $72.5 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?90k | buy | 100 | $0.562 | $56.2 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?90k | buy | 100 | $0.562 | $56.2 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?No | buy | 172 | $0.060 | $10.32 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?No | buy | 200 | $0.976 | $195.2 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?No | sell | 200 | $0.955 | $190.96 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Chelsea wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 749.99 | $0.037 | $27.48 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Dec 27, 2024 |