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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 108.7 | $0.920 | $98.37 | -$1.63 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 76.09 |
| $0.920 |
| $71.14 |
| +$1.14 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 177.91 | $0.292 | $45.37 | -$6.68 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 80.82 | $0.495 | $43.24 | +$3.24 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 48.19 | $0.830 | $41.2 | +$1.2 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | Yes | 56.25 | $0.640 | $40.22 | +$4.22 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 145.89 | $0.253 | $31.59 | -$5.31 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 41.67 | $0.720 | $29.79 | -$0.21 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | Yes | 102.39 | $0.391 | $28.67 | -$11.33 |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? | No | 33.33 | $0.300 | $28.33 | +$18.33 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20.82 | +$0.82 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 658.34 | $0.015 | $7.9 | -$2.1 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 31 | $0.230 | $4.19 | -$2.95 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | No | 103.79 | $0.029 | $3.84 | +$0.84 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | No | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
| buy |
| 108.7 |
| $0.920 |
| $100 |
| 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 21.04 | $0.475 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | 2d ago |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 103.79 | $0.029 | $3 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.114 | $19.05 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | 2d ago |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 241.67 | $0.021 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.720 | $30 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 48.19 | $0.830 | $40 | 2d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Yes | buy | 56.25 | $0.640 | $36 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 81.35 | $0.369 | $30 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.22 | $0.490 | $30 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | 5d ago |
 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 126.26 | $0.158 | $20 | 12d ago |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?No | buy | 32.66 | $0.919 | $30 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.012 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.420 | $15 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 73.21 | $0.273 | $20 | 12d ago |
 Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?Yes | buy | 30.91 | $0.324 | $10 | 26d ago |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.200 | $5.88 | 26d ago |
 Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?Yes | buy | 215.71 | $0.139 | $30 | 26d ago |
 Games Total: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | 26d ago |
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.047 | $1.13 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSpirit | buy | 39.78 | $0.930 | $37 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 76.09 | $0.920 | $70 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 156.94 | $0.017 | $2.67 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 29.62 | $0.150 | $4.44 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 65.47 | $0.002 | $0.13 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 17.75 | $0.213 | $3.78 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.23 | $0.111 | $4.45 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.400 | $4.44 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 65.48 | $0.073 | $4.78 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.300 | $4 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.250 | $6 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 6.31 | $0.317 | $2 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 48.78 | $0.430 | $20.98 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.750 | $26.78 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 87.66 | $0.320 | $28.05 | Feb 2, 2026 |