Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.35 | $0.810 | $9.69 | -$0.31 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 7.69 |
| $0.130 |
| $6.12 |
| +$5.12 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 4.47 | $0.672 | $4.04 | +$1.04 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 3.33 | $0.300 | $2.77 | +$1.77 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.75 | $0.279 | $1.49 | -$1.51 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.82 | $0.710 | $1.48 | -$0.52 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 11.9 | $0.420 | $0.77 | -$4.23 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.49 | $0.182 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.61 | $0.620 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
| buy |
| 4.55 |
| $0.220 |
| $1 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 15.08 | $0.530 | $8 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.480 | $2.08 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.512 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.375 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.182 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.279 | $3 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 166.19 | $0.006 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.811 | $4.3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 4.83 | $0.207 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.760 | $4 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.720 | $4 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.740 | $4 | Jan 6, 2026 |