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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 0.96 | $0.872 | $0.96 | +$0.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 71 | $0.090 | $6.39 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 0.43 |
| $0.951 |
| $0.42 |
| +$0.01 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 0.27 | $0.971 | $0.27 | +$0 |
| sell |
| 34 |
| $0.910 |
| $30.94 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 39 | $0.920 | $35.88 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.920 | $8.28 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 123 | $0.320 | $39.36 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.470 | $19.74 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 42 | $0.920 | $38.64 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 42 | $0.920 | $38.64 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 51 | $0.760 | $38.76 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.760 | $38.76 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.896 | $3.58 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.895 | $21.48 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.180 | $7.02 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 47 | $0.840 | $39.48 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 71 | $0.500 | $35.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.510 | $36.21 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 46 | $0.810 | $37.26 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.810 | $37.26 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.520 | $41.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.540 | $41.04 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.037 | $1.37 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.920 | $36.8 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.850 | $38.25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.938 | $38.46 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.936 | $17.78 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.936 | $17.78 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.070 | $2.31 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.070 | $9.8 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.390 | $5.07 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.027 | $1.32 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 134 | $0.034 | $4.56 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.023 | $1.1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 32 | $0.450 | $14.4 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.031 | $1.55 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.031 | $2.39 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 159 | $0.034 | $5.41 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.016 | $1.33 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 50 | $0.951 | $47.55 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.980 | $43.12 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 72 | $0.590 | $42.48 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 72 | $0.580 | $41.76 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.042 | $2.86 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.044 | $2.99 | May 28, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.963 | $43.34 | May 27, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 26 | $0.570 | $14.82 | May 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 26 | $0.570 | $14.82 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 56 | $0.668 | $37.41 | May 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 53 | $0.700 | $37.1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.486 | $34.02 | May 25, 2026 |